OTTAWA
— A new look at Canada’s labor market reveals the first six months of 2012 has
seen a big improvement in the quality of jobs that have been created — a
surprise that was welcomed Thursday even though the trend likely won’t last.
It
is already known that Canada’s economy churned out 155,000 new jobs in the
first half of this year, more than economists had expected, the CIBC says in
its latest report on employment quality.
But
the bigger surprise is that most of those jobs have been of the full-time and
high-paying variety.
That
is a break from past CIBC reports on job quality, which have tended to show
that a higher proportion of employment created since the 2008-09 recession has
tended to be in the lower-paying services sector, or has been part-time or self-employment.
The
report cautions job quality is expected to fall back in the second half of this
year, but for the moment there is something to celebrate in an overall glum
economic landscape, said Benjamin Tal, CIBC’s deputy chief economist.
“It
was a pleasant surprise. We got 155,000 new jobs, but an even more pleasant
surprise is the quality of employment, which we know has been trending
downward,” said Tal, author of the paper.
Full-time
employment rose by 1.1% during the first half, 10 times faster than part-time
work.
And
the number of employees rose by one per cent, as opposed to only a 0.1%
increase in self-employment, which tends to generate less than 80% the income
of paid employment.
Perhaps
most critical, the number of employees in high-paying sectors rose at an even
faster pace, by 1.6%, more than double the growth in lower-paying sectors.
The
combination of the three pushed the CIBC job quality index up 1.2% to the
highest level since the recession.
Tal
said a big reason for the improvement is that the manufacturing sector added
about 88,000 workers during the period, or more than half of the total.
“And
it’s not just because they’re manufacturing. It’s because they’ve been in
high-paying manufacturing sectors,” he added. “We’re not getting jobs in
textiles. It’s really more in high-tech, heavy machinery, high-paying
manufacturing.”
Other
sectors cited in the report were petroleum and coal manufacturing, oil and gas
extraction, heavy and civil engineering construction and transportation
equipment manufacturing.
Tal
is not optimistic the trend will continue, particularly given the slowdown in
the real estate market, which generates construction work, and in exports, also
a source of high-paying jobs. As well, governments are scaling back on hiring
and cutting back in some cases, particularly at the federal government.
Earlier
this week, Statistics Canada reported that the country experienced a second
consecutive monthly trade deficit in May, suggesting the global economic
weakness was starting to impact Canada’s exporters.
Regionally,
the report shows British Columbia had the most marked improvement in the
quality index. Close to 90% of the jobs created in the province were full-time
and in high-paying industries, Ontario, while lagging in job creation, also had
a strong advance in the quality index, driven by the four per cent increase in
manufacturing employment.
Meanwhile,
Quebec outpaced other provinces in terms of overall job creation, but most were
in the services sector and job quality slipped slightly, the report found.
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